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西沙群岛七连屿绿海龟产卵场沙坑温度变化及蛋窝雌性化风险分析

Sand temperature fluctuation and analysis of female-biased risk at green turtle nesting ground of Qilianyu, Xisha Islands

  • 摘要: 绿海龟(Chelonia mydas) 的性别比例取决于孵化温度,因此全球气候变化可能影响其未来种群的生存状况。为评估气候变化对西沙群岛绿海龟产卵群体的潜在影响,并为保护策略的制定提供科学依据,本研究以不干扰绿海龟蛋窝自然孵化为原则,于2019年12月至2020年12月期间,通过温度记录仪监测西沙群岛七连屿绿海龟产卵场蛋窝附近的全年沙坑温度,再结合产卵时间、蛋窝孵化过程代谢热以及气温与沙坑温度拟合度等数据,估算2020年七连屿全年蛋窝的雌性化比例。结果表明,七连屿全年沙坑温度在22.3~34.1 ℃之间,7月最高,2月最低;全年沙坑温度日较差及其变化幅度均较小;气温与沙坑温度呈显著正相关(P< 0.05);全年降雨主要集中在8—11月,且沙坑温度月较差同降雨量呈显著正相关(P=0.001);绿海龟产卵场核心岛——北岛的植被边缘区(VB)沙坑温度波动较裸露沙滩区(EB)小,呈现冬暖夏凉特点。2020年七连屿绿海龟产卵场共记录149窝蛋,除1、2月外几乎全年产卵且高峰期为5—9月。据推算,2020年完全“雌性化”蛋窝有119窝,集中在产于5—8月的蛋窝,雌性化蛋窝数占总蛋窝数的79.9%~92.6%。在全球气候变暖的大趋势下,未来我国最大的绿海龟产卵场——西沙群岛的孵化稚龟将以雌性为主,由此对我国绿海龟种群造成的影响应该引起足够关注。

     

    Abstract: The sex ratio of green turtles (Chelonia mydas) is determined by incubation temperature, so global climate change may affect the future survival of their populations. To evaluate the effects of global climate change on the future green turtle nesting population at the Xisha Islands and to provide a scientific basis for conservation strategies, without disturbing the natural incubation process, this study monitored sand temperature near the green turtle nests from December 2019 to December 2020 at Qilianyu (Xisha Islands). Temperature data loggers were used to record sand pit temperatures, and the data were combined with nesting time, metabolic heat during incubation, and the correlation between air temperature and sand pit temperature to estimate the feminization ratio of nests in 2020. The results showed that the year-round sand temperature of Qilianyu ranged from 22.3 to 34.1 ℃, with the highest in July and the lowest in February. The daily temperature variation and its amplitude were relatively small throughout the year. There was a significant and positive correlation between the sand temperature and the air temperature (P<0.05). The rainfall at Qilianyu was mainly concentrated from August to November in 2020, and a significant positive correlation was observed between monthly temperature variation and rainfall (P = 0.001). The sand temperature fluctuation in the vegetation boundary at North Island, the core nesting island, was lower than that in the exposed beach exhibiting a pattern of warmer winter and cooler summer. In 2020, 149 nests were recorded at Qilianyu, with nesting occurring almost year-round except in January and February, peaking from May to September. It was estimated that 119 nests were fully female-biased, mainly laid in May to August, accounting for 79.9% to 92.6% of the total nests. Under the trend of global warming, the future hatchlings at Xisha Islands, the largest green turtle nesting ground in China, are predicted to be predominantly female, which warrants significant attention regarding the impact on the green turtle population in China.

     

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