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中国近海养殖贝藻类“可移出碳汇量”核算及潜力评估

Calculation and potential assessment of removal carbon sink of mariculture shellfish and macroalgae in coastal waters of China

  • 摘要: 发展海洋碳汇已成为缓解气候变暖的重要途径。其中,海水养殖具有“碳中和”的巨大潜力。为评估全国近海养殖贝藻类的“可移出碳汇”能力,本研究根据2004—2021年全国及沿海各省海水养殖贝藻类的产量核算碳汇物质量和碳汇价值量,在此基础上,统计分析贝藻类碳汇物质量的时空变化特征,并评估未来海水养殖的碳汇潜力。结果表明,2004—2021年年均碳汇物质量约为153.88万吨;年均碳汇价值量约4.51亿元。Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Sen斜率估计结果显示,全国养殖贝藻类碳汇物质量呈显著增长趋势,未来全国养殖贝藻类碳汇具有巨大的发展潜力。为进一步提升海水养殖贝藻类的碳汇物质量,结合实际情况,提出了深入研究碳汇计量方法、优化海水养殖结构、促进养殖碳汇生态服务有偿化等对策建议,以期未来实现海水养殖贝藻类最大的生态、经济和社会效益。

     

    Abstract: Development of marine carbon sinks has become an important way to mitigate climate warming. Among them, mariculture has great potential for “carbon neutrality”. To evaluate the removal carbon sink capacity of mariculture shellfish and macroalgae, the present study calculated the quality and value of carbon sinks, based on mariculture production of shellfish and macroalgae in China coastal provinces from 2004 to 2021. On this basis, we analyzed the temporal and spatial characteristics of the carbon sink quality and estimated the potential carbon sink of mariculture shellfish and macroalgae in future. Results showed that the average annual carbon sink quality was about 1.5388 million tons from 2004 to 2021. The average carbon sink value was about 451 million yuan. Mann-Kendall test and Sen slope estimated that the carbon sink qualities of national mariculture shellfish and macroalgae increased significantly, and the potential carbon sink of shellfish and macroalgae would increase greatly in China. To elevate the carbon sink qualities of mariculture shellfish and macroalgae, countermeasures proposed included in-depth research on carbon sink measurement methods, optimization of mariculture structure, and promotion of ecological service of mariculture carbon sinks with compensation. These suggestions may achieve the maximum ecological, economic and social benefits of mariculture shellfish and macroalgae in future.

     

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