摘要: |
利用1949~2013年的热带气旋最佳路径和Nino34指数资料,探讨了影响福建省的热带气旋数量和强度与ENSO之间的关系.结果表明,影响福建省的热带气旋数目在拉尼娜年要比厄尔尼诺年略偏多.但对于强台风和超强台风级别的热带气旋而言,反而是在厄尔尼诺年偏多,其频数是拉尼娜年的15倍.另外,热带气旋发生的高峰期,在拉尼娜年为7~9月,在厄尔尼诺年则为7~10月,即厄尔尼诺年中的高峰期相对较长;同时,在拉尼娜年中,强台风和超强台风的发生时间较厄尔尼诺年的6~9月要迟延1个月左右,为7~10月. |
关键词: 海洋气象学 厄尔尼若 拉尼娜 热带气旋 福建省 |
DOI:10.3969/J.ISSN.2095-4972.2016.01.004 |
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基金项目:福建连江海域海洋综合减灾示范区建设资助项目 |
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Relationship of ENSO with numbers and intensities of tropical cyclones influencing Fujian Province |
JIAO Meng Liang |
(Fuzhou Marine Forecast Station, Fuzhou 350026,China) |
Abstract: |
With historical tropical cyclone data collected from 1949 to 2013, we analyze the modulation of the tropical cyclones influencing Fujian Province by ENSO. It is found that the occurrence frequency of tropical cyclones is slightly higher in La Nina years than El Nino years. However, there are much more super typhoons in El Nino years than in La Nina years with a significant discrepancy at 5% level based on ranksum Wilcoxon test. In addition, most of the tropical cyclones occur in June-September in El Nino year but they occur one month later in July-October in La Nina years. In particular, no any super typhoon occurred in October in El Nino years and more than 16% of the super typhoons occur in the same month of La Nina years. |
Key words: marine meteorology El Nino La Nina tropical cyclone Fujian Province |